Model probabilities vs. the market. Graded in public.
Edge Force runs the Line and Dominion predictive engines on every game, compares each probability to the de-vigged market price, and logs every output in a timestamped ledger. Losses included.
No "locks." No guarantees. Just numbers you can check.
Illustrative layout only. No real game, probabilities or results are shown.
How it works
A transparent pipeline you can check yourself, from model output to graded result.
Model runs
The Line and Dominion engines produce a win/cover/total probability for each game on the slate.
Compared to market
We remove the bookmaker margin from consensus odds and show the model next to the market, with the edge and fair odds.
Timestamped before lock
Every slate is committed to a public repo and hashed (SHA-256) on X before games start. It can't be edited later.
Graded in public
Results are scored on ROI, closing-line value (CLV) and calibration, including all the losses.
The Ledger
Our public, tamper-evident record. It starts at zero on launch day, and we'll show every row as it's graded.
| Date | Game | Market | Model % | No-vig market % | Edge | Odds posted | Closing odds | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Awaiting first tracked slate | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| — | Awaiting first tracked slate | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| — | Awaiting first tracked slate | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Methodology: flat 1-unit staking at the odds available when posted; consensus closing odds for CLV; small samples are labeled as such. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Pricing
Paid tiers open only after the public Ledger has 2–4 weeks of tracked outputs. Until then, everything is free.
Open
- 1 featured game per day with full model breakdown
- Full public Ledger (ROI, CLV, calibration)
- Weekly recap email: wins and losses
- Public Discord channel
Line Pro
- Full daily slate: model vs. no-vig market for every covered game
- Edge %, fair odds, "no edge" flags
- Edge-threshold alerts (email / Discord)
- Ledger filters by sport, market and edge bucket
- Members Discord
Dominion Data
- Everything in Line Pro
- Daily CSV + JSON probability feed (personal use)
- Full downloadable Ledger history
- Model changelog and priority Q&A
7-day free trial on Line Pro. Cancel anytime online in one click. Prices in USD. Planned pricing, subject to change before launch.
FAQ
Is this a picks service or a sportsbook?
Neither in the usual sense. Edge Force is a statistical information product: it publishes model probabilities and compares them with market prices. We don't accept wagers, hold funds, or run contests.
Will this make me money?
We can't promise that, and nobody honestly can. Sports outcomes are uncertain, and most bettors lose over time. We publish every output and grade it in public so you can judge the model's track record yourself.
How do I know the record isn't edited?
Each slate is committed to a public Git repository and its SHA-256 hash is posted on X before the first game. Anyone can re-hash the file and compare. Rows are never deleted.
What are CLV and calibration?
Closing-line value compares the odds when we posted with the final odds before the game. Consistently beating the close is a well-known sign of a sharp number. Calibration checks whether events we rate at 60% happen about 60% of the time.
Which sports are covered?
We'll launch with the sports where the engines are strongest and expand only when the record supports it. Waitlist members get a vote.
Who can subscribe?
Adults 21 and over. Use this information only where sports wagering is legal for you, and follow your local laws.
Can I cancel?
Yes. Cancel anytime from your account in one click. There are no lifetime plans and no hidden renewals.
Get the free daily slate
Join the waitlist for the free newsletter and the public Ledger launch. Founding-member pricing goes to the waitlist first.
Responsible gambling & disclaimer
Edge Force Analytics provides statistical information for entertainment and educational purposes only. We are not a sportsbook, do not accept wagers, and do not guarantee any result. Sports betting involves risk of loss. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. You must be 21+ and located where sports wagering is legal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is free and confidential 24/7: National Problem Gambling Helpline 1-800-MY-RESET (1-800-697-3738) · Tennessee REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (call or text).